25M more Californians by 2050 – Hispanics ethnic majority by 2042.

California’s population is projected to reach almost 60 million people by 2050, adding over 25 million since the 2000 decennial census, according to long-range population projections released by the California Department of Finance.

From less than 34 million Californians counted in that census, the new data series shows that the state will pass the 40 million mark in 2012, and exceed 50 million by 2032.

The new projections reveal that Hispanics are now expected to constitute the majority of Californians by 2042. By the middle of the century, the projections show that Hispanics will be
52 percent of the state’s population, with Whites comprising 26 percent. Asians are expected to be 13 percent; Blacks, 5 percent; and Multirace persons, 2 percent. Both American Indian and
Hawaiian/Pacific Islander groups will each make up less than 1 percent of the state by 2050.

The new projections are also available at the county level. Los Angeles will continue to be California’s largest county, topping 13 million by mid-century. With 4.7 million people, Riverside
County is expected to be the second largest county at that time, followed by San Diego, with about 4.5 million residents. Orange County will be fourth largest, with slightly under 4 million
people.

These rankings are also reflected in counties’ numerical change between 2000 and mid-century.

Los Angeles County will increase by the greatest amount, adding almost 3.5 million people. Riverside will follow closely, adding almost 3.2 million. San Bernardino’s period increment is
projected to be 1.9 million, followed by that of San Diego, close to 1.7 million. Four counties – Kern, San Joaquin, Fresno and Orange – will each grow between 1 and 1.5 million people by
2050.

Sutter County is expected to more than triple in size and to experience the greatest percentage increase over the 50-year period – 255 percent. Other counties with notable percentage
increases will be Yuba, Madera, Kern, and San Joaquin, demonstrating the shift in growth away from the coast that has been underway for several years. Only one county – Sierra – is
expected to have fewer people, around 150 less, in 2050 than in 2000.

By 2050, the new projections indicate that Trinity County will have the highest percentage of Whites of any county, while Imperial County will continue to have the highest percentage of
Hispanics. Alameda County will have the highest percentage of Asians; Santa Clara County will have the highest proportion of Pacific Islanders; and San Bernardino will have the largest
proportion of Blacks. Finally, Alpine County will contain the largest percentage of American Indians, while Inyo County will continue to have the largest share of Californians identifying themselves as Multirace persons. At mid-century Whites will be the majority population in just 23 counties. Hispanics are projected to be the majority race/ethnic group in 22 counties.

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