Political

Amid the onslaught of an estimated $11 billion in political spending for this year’s U.S. Presidential Election, it’s hard to imagine any voter group being left out. But according to the 2020 Asian American Voter Survey, half of Asian voters reported they were not contacted by either major party in the ramp up to Election Day. Turnout among Asian American voters lagged their multicultural counterparts in previous cycles, but this year, many are excited about getting off the sidelines and involved in the process.

A generation, according Howe & Strauss, is defined by a life cycle—or roughly 20 years—and greatly influence a nation’s mood. Thrust between a pandemic, racial justice movements and an election, the United States is in the middle of a social and demographic transformation, making 2020 a critical turning point year. But that is not all…2020 marks the  rst time any American generation is a multicultural majority. Today, it is the 0 to 17 segment. By 2028, it will be the under 35 segment, and by 2033, everyone under the age of 50 will be a multicultural majority.

There is no doubt that 2020 will be the most important year of my life. Between the novel coronavirus, the U.S. Census, social justice and the presidential election, this year has made all of us, collectively, rethink what’s important for our families and in our communities. Perhaps for BIPOC (Black, Indigenous, people of color), 2020 has highlighted the importance of unity, empathy and community because, as diverse groups, we have been disproportionately affected by the pandemic, racism and divisive politics.  By Stacie M. de Armas, SVP of Diverse Consumer Insights and Initiatives, Diversity, Equity & Inclusion Practice, Nielsen

It is only 60 days until the election, and the first absentee ballots are going out today. The tension is only going to continue to build over the next two months; amplification is the operative word. And life, and our data, bring into clear relief our polar world—Red, Blue; Good, Bad; Rich, Poor; Black, White. We are divided as a nation. Perhaps our only unity is in our agreement of disunity. What did Thomas Paine say? —”these are the times that try (our) souls…”

The mood of the country has changed — and brands must respond in kind

A study in contrasts: Republican and Democratic strengths and weaknesses in party identificationRepublicans hold wide advantages in party identification among several groups of voters, including white men without a college degree, people living in rural communities in the South and those who frequently attend religious services.  Democrats hold formidable advantages among a contrasting set of voters, such as black women, residents of urban communities in the Northeast and people with no religious affiliation.

Most people are surprised to learn that nearly 30% of U.S. Hispanics voted for Trump in 2016. Hispanics, it turns out, are not a homogeneous group. Over 50% are U.S. born with roots in 20 countries of origin, each with its own rich cultural and political heritage. The world, however, has changed considerably since 2016. Voters have a clearer idea of the president’s policy priorities and leadership style.

More than 23 million U.S. immigrants will be eligible to vote in the 2020 presidential election, making up roughly 10% of the nation’s overall electorate – both record highs, according to Pew Research Center estimates based on Census Bureau data.

The Television Bureau of Advertising released research conducted on eligible voters for state primaries in California, Colorado and North Carolina ahead of Super Tuesday, to gain an understanding of what media platforms may have the most influence on them.

Thanks to billionaire Michael Bloomberg, television ad spending in the 2020 presidential contest has spiked to unprecedented levels. Well over half a billion dollars ($626 million) has been spent so far, with Bloomberg splashing out more half the total ($333 million), and fellow billionaire Tom Steyer dropping another $157 million. Taken altogether, the Democrats have spent 96 percent of the total to date—with President Donald Trump’s essentially uncontested primary campaign spending a comparatively paltry $18 million dollars (and an outside group supporting his re-election kicking in an additional $4 million). In comparison, even with competitive contests in both parties, only $269 million (through 2/15/2016) had been spent at this point in 2016.

This year, Latinos are expected for the first time to be the nation’s largest racial or ethnic minority in a U.S. presidential election, with a record 32 million projected to be eligible to vote. They will account for 13.3% of all eligible voters. However, the number of Latino eligible voters is still far below the 60 million Latinos who live in the country.

As the U.S. enters a heated 2020 presidential election year, a new Pew Research Center report finds that Republicans and Democrats place their trust in two nearly inverse news media environments.  

New words stick when they come from below, and respond to a real need.
 

The winner of the 2020 Presidential Election will need to reach 270 electoral votes. Getting to that number will mean understanding who’s voting and who’s not, and who can be engaged, so they’ll turn out at the polls. Whether you want to engage in a “get out the vote” campaign, or focus messaging efforts in key swing states, you’ll want to tune in each month as we explore voters and their role on the road to election 2020.

By Gonzalo López Martí  – Creative director, etc / lmmiami.com

• A new era of northbound Hispanic immigration is around the corner.
• Which America will welcome with, mostly, open arms.
• Here’s why.

The 2020 presidential race is shaping up to be a record year for political ad spending — and digital is poised to land a larger share of that spending. Democrats are fired up (with more than 20 Dems running for president), President Trump is aiming to bank a billion dollars for his reelection effort, and campaign managers conditioned by digital media will be in charge of many campaigns.

In June, I posted two RAB blog posts regarding the upcoming 2020 elections. I stated that PQ Media is forecasting $8.33 billion is going to be spent by candidates and their PACs, as well as by special interest groups supporting/not supporting ballot initiatives or referendums. Radio was predicted to do well, fueled by candidates targeting multicultural audiences.  By Leo Kivijarv, Ph.D., Executive Vice President & Director of Research, PQ Media

Growth in political ad spending is expected to slow dramatically during the 2019-2020 election cycle, according to Kantar Media, which predicts political campaigns for US federal office will spend $6 billion on paid media placements this year. But a greater share than ever will be directed toward digital channels.

Univision Communications, Inc. announced the release of crucial Hispanic voter data analysis in conjunction with L2 (Labels and Lists) which demonstrates across the board voter registration and turnout increases in the key primary and general election states of Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The public renders a harsh judgment on the state of political discourse in this country. And for many Americans, their own conversations about politics have become stressful experiences that they prefer to avoid.